Аналитика Форекс по BTC USD

Прогноз на неделю 26 – 30 сентября: #NQ100: Индекс высокотехнологичных американских корпораций NQ100 находится вблизи двухлетнего минимума и в новую пятидневку я ожидаю продолжения нисходящего тренда по двум причинам. Во-первых, ФРС США недавно повысила учетную ставку на 0,75 п.п. до 3,25% и пообещ...

Прогноз на неделю 19 – 23 сентября: #NQ100: Основным событием недели станет оглашение итогов заседания ФРС, которое намечено на среду 21 сентября. Фьючерс на ставку ФРС, который торгуется на Чикагской бирже, указывает на то, что ставка будет повышена на 0,75%. Такой исход рынок ждет давно и это соб...

Прогноз на неделю 12 – 16 сентября: #NQ100: Согласно последней статистики ФРС США, долларовая ликвидность в банковской системе на прошлой неделе выросла на $155,4 млрд. Позитивная динамика во многом вызвана действиями Минфина США, который активно тратит средства со своего счета в Федрезерве. Трейде...

Прогноз на неделю 5 – 9 сентября: #NQ100: Американский фондовый рынок минувшую торговую неделю завершил на 5-недельном минимуме и в новую пятидневку я ожидаю продолжения нисходящего тренда по двум причинам. Во-первых, ФРС США будет активно сокращать свой портфель ценных бумаг, что приведёт к уменьш...

Прогноз на неделю 29 августа – 2 сентября: #NQ100: Американский фондовый рынок сейчас торгуется на четырёхнедельном минимуме и в новую пятидневку я ожидаю продолжения нисходящего тренда. Глава ФРС США Джером Пауэлл отвергает призывы о том, что тренд по инфляции развернулся и на этом фоне можно не т...

Прогноз на неделю 22-26 августа: #NQ100: В новую пятидневку я ожидаю распродаж на американском фондовом рынке на фоне сокращения долларовой ликвидности в банковской системе. Во-первых, Минфин США проведет серию аукционов по размещению казначейских облигаций в объеме $102 млрд. Во-вторых, ФРС будет ...

Прогноз на неделю 15-19 августа: #NQ100: В первой половине недели Минфин США проведет серию аукционов по размещению казначейских облигаций на общую сумму $73,9 млрд, что приведёт к сокращению долларовой ликвидности в банковской системе и может вызвать коррекцию на американском фондовом рынке. Долла...

Прогноз на неделю 8-12 августа: #NQ100: В новую пятидневку для американского фондового рынка формируется смешанный фон. С одной стороны, можно ожидать роста котировок на фоне увеличения профицита долларовой ликвидности в банковской системе. Резервы банков за прошлую неделю выросли на $67 млрд, что ...

Прогноз на неделю 18-22 июля: #NQ100: В США стартовал сезон корпоративной отчетности. Первыми по традиции отчитались крупнейшие американские банки и большинство из них разочаровало трейдеров слабой статистикой. Банкиры наращивают резервы под возможные кредитные убытки на ожиданиях приближения рецес...

Прогноз на неделю 11-15 июля: #NQ100: В свежей статистике ФРС США по изменению активов на балансе вырисовывается одна интересная деталь – по итогам июня Федрезерв продал казначейских и ипотечных ценных бумаг на $24 млрд, при этом в плане, который был озвучен еще на майском заседании регулятора была...

EUR/USD: The Dollar Is Gaining Strength Again The EUR/USD pair moved in a sideways channel of 1.0500-1.0600 for a week and a half. However, it is clear that neither investors nor speculators are interested in such stagnation. But some kind of trigger is needed to break out of it. The last meeting ....

EUR/USD: Just a Calm Week The last week was quite calm for the EUR/USD pair. It moved along the Pivot Point 1.0500, and the maximum range of fluctuations was less than 140 points (1.0468-1.0605), which is quite small for today. President Joe Biden's appeal to the US Congress, with the exception of....

EUR/USD: Fed FOMC Meeting Results Last week's events were based on Friday, June 10, when US inflation statistics were released, which amounted to 8.6% against the expected 8.3%. Having learned these disturbing data, market participants began to include in dollar quotes the possibility of raising t....

EUR/USD: We Are Waiting for the Fed Meeting The movement of the EUR/USD pair from May 23 to June 09 can be considered as sideways in the range of 1.0640-1.0760 (several false breakdowns in both directions do not count). However, this relative calm ended after the meeting of the Board of the Europea....

EUR/USD: Inflation and Labor Market Decide It All The total result of the week can be considered close to zero. If the EUR/USD pair completed the previous five-day period at 1.0730, the final chord sounded at 1.0720 this time. At the same time, we cannot say that the past week was very boring: the....

EUR/USD: Fed's "Boring" FOMC Protocol The DXY dollar index hit a multi-year high of 105.05 on Friday, May 13, after a six-week rise. The last time it climbed this high was 20 years ago. However, a reversal followed, and it was already at the level of 101.50 exactly two weeks later. Following the g....

EUR/USD: Growth of the Pair as a Result of DXY Correction The DXY dollar index hit a multi-year high of 105.05 on Friday, May 13 after a six-week rise. The last time it climbed this high was 20 years ago. However, a reversal followed, and the DXY was below the 103.00 horizon on May 19-20. According....

EUR/USD: On the Way to 1.0000 The dollar continues to rise, while the EUR/USD pair continues to fall. The DXY dollar index crept close to 104.9 on Thursday, May 12. The last time it climbed this high was 20 years ago. The pair found the bottom at the level of 1.0349, in the area of the lows of Dec....

EUR/USD: A week of Many Multi-Year Records Although some hotheads, such as James Bullard, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, believed that the interest rate could be raised by 0.75% straight away, everything happened as the market expected. Following the May 4 meeting, the FOMC (Fe....

EUR/USD: Euro Updates Five-Year Low, We Are Waiting for the Fed (FOMC) Meeting The DXY index that measures the US dollar against a basket of six other major currencies updated its 20-year high on Thursday, April 28. The reason for this growth is still the same, and we have repeatedly written abou....

EUR/USD: Words Drive Trends The main drivers of the past week were statements by important ECB and FRS officials. However, the beginning of the five-day period was relatively calm: the Easter weekend had its effect. Unlike the United States, Europe rested not only on Friday April 15, but also on Mo....

EUR/USD: Fed's Apples and ECB's Oranges The dollar continues to strengthen, while the EUR/USD pair moves down. A week's low was recorded at 1.0757 after the ECB meeting on Thursday, April 14. After correction, the final chord, sounded at around 1.0808. We named three reasons for the growth of the ....

EUR/USD: Three reasons for the Strengthening of the Dollar The proponents of a stronger dollar won by a very small margin in the previous forecast. 50% of analysts voted for its growth, 40% were against and 10% took a neutral position. The reason for such uncertainty and disagreement was that the m....

EUR/USD: Too Much Uncertainty The movement of major currencies was determined throughout March by reports from the Russian-Ukrainian front, the sanctions-energy war with Russia, and the pace of monetary tightening. The US dollar has strengthened significantly in recent months thanks to a sharp inc....

EUR/USD: A Tangle of Chaos and Paradoxes The title of the previous EUR/USD review had a question of whether the market has gone crazy. Many analysts agreed that financial markets behaved at least illogically following the March Fed meeting. And at most, it's just absurd. Despite aggressive tighten....

EUR/USD: Has the Market Gone Crazy? What happened in the market after the US Federal Reserve meeting can be called "the theater of the absurd". As expected, the regulator raised the key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5% on Wednesday, March 16, for the first time since 2018. As expected, the dollar b....

EUR/USD: Mega Event of the Week: US Federal Reserve Meeting As expected, the main event of the past week was Thursday, March 10th, thanks to the meeting of the European Central Bank. The interest rate was left at the same level of 0%, and this was no surprise to anyone. But despite the absolute pre....

EUR/USD: The Fate of the Euro Is Decided in Ukraine Macro statistics were mixed last week. But few people pay attention to it at the moment. The dynamics of European currencies is determined by what is happening in Ukraine for the second week now. The escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian armed conf....

EUR/USD: War Is Not Only Blood, But Also Business The dynamics of European currencies is now determined by what is happening in Ukraine. You can forget about all kinds of macro-economic indicators for a while. Who and how much earned on Russia's invasion of a neighboring country, and who lost and h....

EUR/USD: Waiting for War and Rate Hike The period from February 10 to 14 was unexpectedly stormy. Panic moods were diligently warmed up by the leading media, actively discussing the statements of world leaders, primarily the President of the United States, regarding a possible Russian invasion of U....